Secrets behind the Chinese and Indian miraclesRecently it has been seen that India and China have emerged as two major and key players in the global economic arena, in fact both countries rival one another as the world’s most favorable destination for foreign direct investment.China has emerged as the global manufacturing hub whereas India has taken over the charge of technology and information, although there is a substantial manufacturing sector in India too. The aim of this article is to explain the phenomenal growth the two economies have embarked upon over the past one decade; in relation with a concept of micro-economics known as ‘economies of scale’ although the concept generally is applied to firms and industries but there is another unique dimension of the concept and that is in relation with the economy of a country.
Economies of scale are attributed with certain characteristics such as specialized labor, managerial skills etc. It is worth noting that these characteristics are also common among the economically and socially developed countries of the world.
As the world has entered the 21st century, the notion of geographical boundaries is thinning, international politics and global dominance are now directly linked with a strong economy, the life cycles of human development are shortening at speed never seen before. The dawn of 21st century is another milestone in human history as it marks the beginning of “knowledge and information revolution” era, It is said that the 21st century would see technological progress on the order of 200 centuries.
A number of new challenges have risen for the developing countries in this fast changing world, but one must not forget that these challenges also hold with them several opportunities, it is only that we give a proper response to these challenges that the opportunities will land in our reach.
CHINA & INDIA: THE ENIGMA?Three important factors that have emerged in the competitive global economic market are - Price, Quality and Image. Both China and India are blessed with huge amount of human resource which more importantly is properly trained through efficient/functional technical education systems in the country.
Quality comes from technology, and technology either with research or FDI, both China and India are ranked number one and two in terms of favorable environment for long term investment, contrary to that Pakistan is rated ‘D’ (i.e. high risk in medium term for investment) by Coface, the French multinational which is a global leader in export credit ratings, risk assessment, and insurance for receivables.Third and equally important dimension of competitive global economy is the image a country carries and builds, China is a nation of over one billion with an upper-middle class of about 250 million and growing, therefore no major global corporate entity whether financial or non-financial can afford to stay out of this potentially enormous market. India on the other hand has a sound democracy and stable institutions supplemented with a population of over a billion approximately. It has channeled its human resource potential towards becoming knowledge workers, by establishing state of the art professional institutes throughout the country.
ECONOMIES OF SCALE? CHINA & INDIA AS A CASE STUDYThe principle of economies of scale states that “as the production capacity of a firm increases, a number of factors will lead to lower average costs of production”, the main factors being :
1. Labor Specialization
2. Managerial Specialization
3. Efficient Capital
4. Knowledge spillovers
5. Continuous Improvement Cycle (CIC) - “learning by doing”
1. Labor Specialization:Labor specialization or training has a great impact on increase in efficiency, China and India had placed their systems/infrastructure of technical education in the right order back in the 1980s, but we here in Pakistan unfortunately couldn’t develop a sound base for functional literacy in our country and majority of the educated do not possess the skills needed for growing in this tight race of economic growth in a highly globalized era.
2. Managerial Specialization:Both the countries have a sound public sector education system at all i.e. primary, secondary & tertiary levels which is quite an achievement considering the magnitude of their target populations.
India has a strong network of IITs (Indian Institutes of technology) and IIMs (Indian Institutes of Management) which have credible standing among International universities. The IIM-Ahmedabad is ranked as the Best Business school in Asia (by BusinessWeek) followed by three other Indian B-Schools in the top10, China on the other hand has approx. 15 universities in the top 50 universities of Asia in the same rankings.3. Efficient Capital:Persistence of policies and a broader proactive vision has resulted in strong Industrial sectors in both the countries although India has a large Agriculture sector, but its share is shrinking due to growing manufacturing and service sectors. India was virtually on the verge of bankruptcy in early 1990s until they started liberalization of their economy and persevered with it. By the late 1990s, the agriculture sector accounted for only 25% of GDP, down from 40% in the late 70s.
This kind of robust Industrial Infrastructure when complemented by a strong knowledge equipped labor force and an indigenously prepared army of professionals makes a highly effective and efficient arrangement for the national economy.
4. Knowledge Spillovers:Knowledge is one of the important input factors in highly innovative industries and countries. The specialized knowledge that is crucial to success in innovative industries and countries comes from:
o Research and development efforts
o Reverse engineering
o Exchange of information and ideas with the outside world
India and China both produce thousands of PhDs annually, which reflects the high volume of academic research being undertaken by these nations.
The number of PhDs produced in India annually is in excess of 5000 which alone is greater than the total PhDs produced in our country’s history.5. Continuous Improvement Cycle (CIC):It is also of crucial importance that you learn from your mistakes, as it is said that, “the biggest mistake is to not learn from your mistakes”. They have been predictable and rational in policy making and consistent with them too, with a special emphasis on implementation of policies.
Consistency of policies in China is ensured through the strong one party system. In India we saw that when the congress party won the 2004 elections, the stock markets collapsed and there were speculations that the new regime would change the investment friendly policies of the country, however it was the strong democratic tradition which prevented them from doing so.
The concept of continuous improvement is also endorsed by Islam; Prophet Muhammad (SAW) once said that, “A true Momin is the one who’s every next day is better than the previous day”.DISECONOMIES OF SCALE?In time the expansion of output may lead to diseconomies and therefore higher average total costs (ATC). The main factor leading to diseconomies of scale is the difficulty of efficiently controlling and coordinating operations as an entity becomes a large producer. The factors leading to a diseconomy of scale can be generalized in the following categories:
1. Inefficient controlling and coordination
2. No delegation of Authority
3. Alienation / Shrinking opportunities for the workers
1. Inefficient Controlling and Coordination:Lack of capacity of government line departments and consequently a lack of coordination is a common characteristic of all underdeveloped countries, there are many departments doing the same job but in an un coordinated fashion with null net result.
2. No Delegation of Authority:‘One man show’ is prevalent in our country, which leads to many problems of communication, coordination, red-tapism, and lack of cooperation. One person cannot assemble, digest and understand all the information pertinent to accurate decision making. Weak Democratic culture and values also leads to mistrust among fellow team players and colleagues.
3. Alienation - Shrinking opportunities for the working class:Weak democratic tradition leads to social disharmony and segregation of the society, people stop taking interest (and levels of motivation become dies) in their work because they have nothing at stake. They suppose that they are of no value neither would their voice change anything, these are all signs of a depressed nation.
It would be quite relevant here to quote what once was said by Dr. Mahbub ul Haq; that, “Economic growth is like wild horse; it needs to be trained to serve the real interests of the society. If the horse misbehaves in some societies, then the fault is not that of the horse but the skill of the rider. Economic growth is essential in poor societies - but even more important is its structure and distribution.”
In the end I would also quote what is said to be the Chinese formula of sustainable economic development, that, “Social Cohesion and Political Stability are pre-requisites for Sustainable Economic Development” Peace
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"China has emerged as the global manufacturing hub whereas India has taken over the charge of technology and information"
HEy again, this part is rubbish. if india is in charge with teachnology and information, why china is ahead of india in every field?
also, without hardware, where u indian boasted about china has hardware (hardworking and also infrastructure) but india has sofeware (brain), then it doesnt make sense. firstly u need hardware for software to thrive (labs etc...) and also sofeware means brain, now technology is from the brains of a group of scientists right? now which country is more advance? china or india? technology information is directly links with technology. how stupid people can be?
think again, u need gd tech to build gd infractructure, otherwise things breaks down in a few years, also the infractructure aint going to be productive.
i think anyone got the results.